How to Build Your Sustainable Portfolio
A version of this article originally ran in Progressive Investor,
our monthly sustainable investing newsletter. It provides on-going
analysis of clean tech investment opportunities: renewable energy, fuel
cells, organics, forests and emerging areas on the private and public
sides. |
by Rona Fried
This
holiday season as you are evaluating your financial position, you may
be considering converting your investment portfolio to sustainable
companies. Over the years that we have published Progressive Investor, our analyst partners have recommended many stocks, most of which have done very well for subscribers.
Some of the many stocks we've discussed are:
United Natural (UNFI): largest US natural products distributor Whole Foods (WFMI): largest natural products supermarket chain Strategic Diagnostics (SDIX): test kits for GMOs & safety Canadian Pacific Railway (TSE:CP) Air Products & Chemicals (APD): makers of hydrogen Deere & Co. (DE) : equipment manufacturer Hydrogenics (TO:HYG): fuel cells Intermagnetics General (IMGC): grid reliability Itron (ITRI): grid efficiency Kyocera (KYO): solar Philips Electronics (PHG): electronics Plug Power (PLUG): fuel cells Quantum (QTWW): hydrogen tanks for vehicles Baldor (BEZ): efficient motors Power Integrations (POWI): efficiency STMicroelectronics (STM): electronics Cuno (CUNO) : water filtration Trojan Technologies (TO: TUV): water filtration Zenon (TO: ZEN): water filtration Harris Interactive (HPOL): polling company Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): medical devices Sonosite (SONO): hand held ultrasound
Tips for Converting Your Portfolio
1. Create your universe of stocks Make a list of companies you would feel excited about investing in. As a Progressive Investor
subscriber, you'll learn about many potential stocks. You can also
learn about them by reading our daily news on the homepage or in other
financial outlets.
For this first pass it doesn't matter if a company is large or small or from a particular industry type.
2. Understand a company's business It's
important to understand what a company's business is about. If you shop
in Whole Foods Market's (WFMI) stores you will understand their
business model - they sell natural food to American and Canadian
people, and now English people. If you like the concept and believe the
market for natural foods will continue to grow, put it on your list.
Sometimes
a company is in several businesses or has numerous product lines. Often
it's hard to understand what the company does or you might understand
part of one of the things it does. If you don't understand a company's
products or services well enough to be able to explain it to someone,
you can't really analyze the company, so don't invest in them.
3. Research the companies you like the best Within
your list of say, 100 stocks you'd be happy to own, there is a subset
that you get really excited about. You understand what these companies
do - what their business is about. This is the group of stocks to
research further.
It is one thing to like a company; it is
another to know that it is a good investment. You can like a company
and buy its products to support that company's growth - if you are
going to invest in a company you want to know your investment will
grow.
Is this too obvious? So many people like wind companies,
for example, because they want to participate in the growth of
sustainable energy. You can buy wind energy to power your home or
business and benefit that way. But to invest your money in a wind
company stock is a very different story.
You need to have some
basic knowledge about investing. Learn the basics of company analysis:
its size, PE ratio (price per earnings now and projected PE ratio), EPS
earnings per share, how it has performed and the like. You can learn
this in any basic investors book or website.
Read the news
about the company (eg., at Yahoo, CBS Marketwatch); learn what they
have been doing and what their plans are. The more familiar you are
with a company the more you can make sense of its stock movements. Also
look at how the company fares compared with its peers.
4. Decide whether now is the time to Buy. After learning about a particular company, you decide you do want to invest in them. Is now the right time?
A
company may be great, but the price may be too high because other
people like it too and it is way overbought. We see that a lot with the
fuel cell companies. They go through wild phases, going way up and way
down.
One of our subscribers, Gilles Arbour explains, "I like
Quantum (QTWW), but I don't like it at all price levels. I have bought
it and sold it several times. When it goes sky high I sell, when it
goes way down, I buy. I always keep a core amount of about 1000 shares,
but I trade the rest."
When you watch a company for awhile you can get a sense for its price movements. Buy when the stock dips.
5. Start with "paper trading." Beginning
investors should start by investing safely - on paper-only. Set up a
portfolio on a website like CBS Marketwatch and pretend you are buying
1,000 shares of one company and 200 shares of another. Buy and sell
stocks over a six- month period and see how much money you make or
lose. That's how you learn without hurting yourself.
6. Never fall in love with a stock. It's
hard to do! Watch the news. If a company's story changes and the reason
you invested in the first place disappears then sell the stock.
7. Diversify your portfolio. Where
you invest your money also depends on how much money you have to
invest. Many advisors say if you have less than $100,000, most, if not
all, of your money should be in mutual funds. If you have 3 mutual
funds you own 100 or more companies. Although Gilles has much of his
money in individual stocks, his long-term money is in mutual funds.
If
you have enough money and enjoy stock investing, you can create your
own diversified mutual fund by investing in many stocks. Gilles owns
40-50 stocks at any given time and he feels good about every single
company. "I've never found a mutual fund where I can say that," he
says.
The important point is that if you only have enough
money to invest in 3 stocks, that's way too risky and you should be in
mutual funds. If you have most of your money in mutual funds, you might
decide to allocate a portion of it to individual stocks.
To
track 15-25 companies is plenty for most people. If you have most of
your money in mutual funds and a minor percentage in 20 different
stocks, that's diversification - especially if you spread it between
different industries - not all in energy.
Natural food
industry stocks have outperformed the market for years because of
positive demographic trends, but food stocks in general are considered
"defensive" stocks, providing protection when the economy sours. Energy
stocks tend to run in the opposite direction - they run up quickly in
an accelerating economy, but tank in a difficult economy.
Putting Theory in Action If
you are converting an existing portfolio, sell the stocks you like the
least first, and gradually buy new stocks as they come into buying
position. First purchase companies that have a high market cap (large
companies) because the share price won't fluctuate as much as a smaller
company's stock will. Current economic conditions aren't strong enough
to feel safe with companies that don't have very strong fundamentals.
Even
though Whole Foods Market has only a $5.8 billion market cap compared
to a company like IBM ($157 billion), and United Natural (UNFI) has
just over a billion, these are considered large companies. A very small
company like Strategic Diagnostics ($63 million market cap) has the
most potential to grow but is also the riskiest kind of investment.
You
might invest $30,000 in a larger company like United Natural, but only
$2000 in a small energy company like Hydrogenics. And you might
purchase several stocks in each industry sector - alternative energy
and natural food, for example - to spread out your risk and profit
potential.
A
good time to buy a stock is when the overall market goes down. The
company that you like goes down along with the whole market, having
nothing to do with company performance.
Once
you buy a stock you don't need to monitor it every day. Scan your
portfolio on a website like CBS Marketwatch and if there is a big,
crazy change - like a stock suddenly shoots way up or down, especially
if it moves much more than the market - evaluate the news. Sometimes a
stock price drops because of some obviously temporary bad news, making
it a good time to buy more.
"I'm
not a trader," says Arbour, "but I don't only buy and hold either. The
tech bubble taught us that lesson. So many people that bought and held
are still holding but they're not holding much. If I've done well with
a stock but now I can't see how it will continue to climb, I sell it."
If he believes it will continue to rise, he might sell half of it to
lock in the profit.
"Whole
Foods (WFMI)," he says, "is an example of a stock I may hold for 10
years and maybe leave to my grandchildren one day. I continue to like
their story and I see the stock increasing in value. There is no reason
to sell it. Their profits keep rising and they are spending more on
existing stores. I see no reason for them to do anything but continue
to expand."
He
points out that their competitor, Wild Oats (OATS), doesn't have as
strong a story or as strong fundamentals. The same is true for Hain
Celestial (HAIN), another health food stock. He bought it for a while
and sold it at a good profit, but doesn't like their story enough to
keep it long term. They aren't involved with organic as much and he
doesn't like some of their product lines. People go in and out of the
stock rather than holding onto it.
Lastly,
you can't only invest in "perfectly sustainable" companies because you
need some very large companies in your portfolio to be diversified.
Kyocera (KYO), for example, is a solar leader, but the company has a
multitude of other product lines.
Best of luck!
++++
Rona Fried, Ph.D., is
President & CEO of SustainableBusiness.com, the online
community for green business: daily sustainable business & investor
news, Green Dream Jobs, and Business Connections.
SustainableBusiness.com also publishes Progressive Investor, which provides ongoing analysis of clean tech investment opportunities. |
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